BibTeX

@article{2508.15991v1,
Author        = {Oscar Macias and Zachary Mason and Matthew Ho and Arsène Ferrière and Aurélien Benoit-Lévy and Matías Tueros},
Title         = {Simulation-Based Inference for Direction Reconstruction of
  Ultra-High-Energy Cosmic Rays with Radio Arrays},
Eprint        = {2508.15991v1},
ArchivePrefix = {arXiv},
PrimaryClass  = {astro-ph.HE},
Abstract      = {Ultra-high-energy cosmic-ray (UHECR) observatories require unbiased direction
reconstruction to enable multi-messenger astronomy with sparse,
nanosecond-scale radio pulses. Explicit likelihood methods often rely on
simplified models, which may bias results and understate uncertainties. We
introduce a simulation-based inference pipeline that couples a physics-informed
graph neural network (GNN) to a normalizing-flow posterior within the
\textit{Learning the Universe Implicit Likelihood Inference} framework. Each
event is seeded by an analytic plane-wavefront fit; the GNN refines this
estimate by learning spatiotemporal correlations among antenna signals, and its
frozen embedding conditions an eight-block autoregressive flow that returns the
full Bayesian posterior. Trained on about $8,000$ realistic UHECR air-shower
simulations generated with the ZHAireS code, the posteriors are
temperature-calibrated to meet empirical coverage targets. We demonstrate a
sub-degree median angular resolution on test UHECR events, and find that the
nominal 68\% highest-posterior-density contours capture $71\% \pm 2\%$ of true
arrival directions, indicating a mildly conservative uncertainty calibration.
This approach provides physically interpretable reconstructions,
well-calibrated uncertainties, and rapid inference, making it ideally suited
for upcoming experiments targeting highly inclined events, such as GRAND,
AugerPrime Radio, IceCube-Gen2, RNO-G, and BEACON.},
Year          = {2025},
Month         = {Aug},
Url           = {http://arxiv.org/abs/2508.15991v1},
File          = {2508.15991v1.pdf}
}